Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

2nd 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.8
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kugane Gaming (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Cornillie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, Marionette
!
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Kano, Dracai of Aether
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
15th 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bram Hast (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Vanclaire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Frederic Bernard (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Bauwens (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
45th 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dimi Van Edom (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stijn Audenaert (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
9th 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Dash I/O
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gust Boelaert (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Kano, Dracai of Aether
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Bauwens (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kugane Gaming (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
38th 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jean-François WAUTHIER (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pepijn Noelanders (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Mishima (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dimi Van Edom (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
42nd 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Frederic Bernard (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jean-François WAUTHIER (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dimitri Francois (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.