National Championship 2025 - Belgium - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Frederick Middleton

18th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.5

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jean-François WAUTHIER (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas De Wolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs stef van oort (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.18
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.12
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.05

Sébastien Spilliaert

11th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Frederick Middleton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ruben Costers (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.53
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.81
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Wim Raes

30th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Björn Debremaeker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gust Boelaert (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brian Cornillie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R9	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.