Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Frederick Middleton

18th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jean-François WAUTHIER (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas De Wolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs stef van oort (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.21
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.77	2.83
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.06

Sébastien Spilliaert

11th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Frederick Middleton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ruben Costers (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.71
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.81
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Wim Raes

30th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Björn Debremaeker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gust Boelaert (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brian Cornillie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.21
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.