Dash I/O at National Championship 2025

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pavlos Konstantinidis

25th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas De Wolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Khalid Abatouy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Wim Raes (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kenny Van Rompaey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.07
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.83
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.70
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Warre Sevens

19th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Steven De Smet (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs stef van oort (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Cedric SCHAACK (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.02
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65

Kevin Faut

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Khalid Abatouy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Lerens (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.64
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.