Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025

Prism, Awakener of Sol

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sammy Weckx

5th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bram Hast (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Björn Debremaeker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.67
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.46
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.78
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.88
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Dimitri Francois

32nd • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Simon Daelemans (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Mishima (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Thysbaert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Bart Hendriks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.08
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.94

Jorgen Fleussu

40th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

4.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jordi De Jonghe (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs stef van oort (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dimi Van Edom (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs jurgen schepens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.32
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.79
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.54
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Simon Daelemans

41st • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dimitri Francois (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lori Vanderhulst (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nefra Greywulf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Pepijn Noelanders (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.39
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.35
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.83
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Khalid Abatouy

dropped • 1-2-1

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Faut (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Björn Debremaeker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Robbert Valkeneers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Draw	✓	0.63	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.