National Championship 2025 - Belgium - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sammy Weckx

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.6

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bram Hast (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Björn Debremaeker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.68
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.75
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.86
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.97
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Dimitri Francois

32nd • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Simon Daelemans (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Mishima (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Thysbaert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Bart Hendriks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.04
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.94

Jorgen Fleussu

40th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.5

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jordi De Jonghe (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs stef van oort (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dimi Van Edom (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs jurgen schepens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.27
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.63
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.25
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Simon Daelemans

41st • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dimitri Francois (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lori Vanderhulst (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nefra Greywulf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

20:80

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Pepijn Noelanders (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.09
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.83
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Khalid Abatouy

dropped • 1-2-1

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Faut (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Björn Debremaeker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Robbert Valkeneers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Draw	✓	0.67	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.