Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
36th • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christof Ackaert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Khalid Abatouy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dimi Van Edom (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Round 8: Loss vs Frederick Middleton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Draw |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
22nd • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs stef van oort (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Lerens (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kugane Gaming (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
55th • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Tibo Vanwambeke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lori Vanderhulst (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 7: Win vs fre De Wilde (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Thysbaert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenny Van Rompaey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordi De Jonghe (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Faut (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Mishima (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Kjell Lannoo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs fre De Wilde (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Florian Vanclaire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.