FaB-Results

Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025 - Belgium

Jarl Vetreiði

Jarl Vetreiði

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Julien Desuter
17th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Lerens (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Patrick Mishima (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Michael Bauwens
21st • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs fre De Wilde (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gilles De Vylder (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.