Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2025

Fang, Dracai of Blades

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Steven Vanbecelaere

50th • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Thysbaert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christof Ackaert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kjell Lannoo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Dimi Van Edom (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Joris Borkelmans

52nd • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christof Ackaert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tibo Vanwambeke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Anthony Thysbaert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.62	2.11

Gilles De Vylder

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Bauwens (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Griffin Paesschesoone (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.99
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Steven De Smet

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.