Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-0-0
89%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
6.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Cornillie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Griffin Paesschesoone (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ruben Costers (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.