National Championship 2025 - Indonesia - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dyatmika Paramaanindya

5th • 4-2-1

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Draw vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.07
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.48
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.58
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Draw	✓	0.71	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Justian Frederick

5th • 3-3-1

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Putu Swantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.44
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.21
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Draw	✗	0.34	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

justin widjaja

35th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Margo Burhanudin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hadzie De Grim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rafael Alva Shady (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.68
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R9	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Kevin Gondowijoyo

27th • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Benedictus See

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jason Alexander (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Jason Alexander

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benedictus See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wibowo Aji (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ode Suputra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.65	2.66

Irsan Halim

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Edward Leonardo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wibowo Aji (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dionisius Susanto (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Jeremy Hanov

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dave Poetera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rizky Ceyzar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Andreas Andreas

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rizky Ceyzar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Derry Lijuwardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Dave Poetera

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Hanov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.