Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship 2025 - Indonesia
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
Round 10: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Draw |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
5th • 3-3-1
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Putu Swantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Draw |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
35th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Margo Burhanudin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hadzie De Grim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
Round 8: Loss vs Rafael Alva Shady (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
27th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Alexander (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benedictus See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wibowo Aji (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Win vs Ode Suputra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Leonardo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wibowo Aji (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dionisius Susanto (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dave Poetera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rizky Ceyzar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rizky Ceyzar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Derry Lijuwardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Hanov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.