Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

25th 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Puffin, Hightail
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dionisius Susanto (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Setiawan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rafael Alva Shady (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
dropped 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chriatian Wijaya (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs justin widjaja (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dion Ngelow (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.