Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Theodore Andrew

2nd • 6-2-1

56%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Farrell Pujokusumo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Sugianto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Justian Frederick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Justian Frederick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.32
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.48
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.38
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Draw	✓	0.71	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.55
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.22
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Natanael Avellino

3rd • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bhismantara Candra (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anditya Tornando (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.16
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.21
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.29
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.63
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adi Guna Sodikin

21st • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rama Wirakusuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Romanos Defiano (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs justin widjaja (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Anditya Tornando (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.25
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.74

Chriatian Wijaya

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Margo Burhanudin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rizky Ceyzar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rafael Alva Shady (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.58
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.60

Rizky Ceyzar

dropped • 3-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andreas Andreas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Hanov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chriatian Wijaya (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.33
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Putu Swantara

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Farrell Pujokusumo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.48
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.28

Derry Lijuwardi

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andreas Andreas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.33
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Willy Felim

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dion Ngelow (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.