National Championship 2025 - Indonesia - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hans Kristian

12th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pri Hermawan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Hanov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Benedictus See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Rama Wirakusuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.78
R9	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	2.08

Michael Setiawan

24th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

4.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Oktavius Ivoni (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rama Wirakusuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Randy Stephen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.62
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	2.10

Romanos Defiano

30th • 2-3-1

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs martinus indra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Hadzie De Grim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.88
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.86
R9	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Oktavius Ivoni

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Antonio Salim (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ebnu Suryadhi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.55

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.