Katsu, the Wanderer at National Championship 2025

Katsu, the Wanderer

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bhismantara Candra

26th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Antonio Salim (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 69:31

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Edward Leonardo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gian Arnandi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.49
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.11

Aziz Riphat

9th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rafael Alva Shady (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs martinus indra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Derry Lijuwardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.48
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christian Andersen

18th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Sugianto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pri Hermawan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs martinus indra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Farrell Pujokusumo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.54
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.