Dash I/O at National Championship 2025

Dash I/O

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Farrell Pujokusumo

14th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Putu Swantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Stevano Raphael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.85
R8	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.93
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Win	✗	0.63	2.18

Rama Wirakusuma

19th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Setiawan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Edward Leonardo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Gian Arnandi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.53
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.35
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Arif Ardiningrum

17th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stevano Raphael (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Benedictus See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.03
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

Randy Stephen

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ebnu Suryadhi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Nugroho Haryoputro

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Alexander (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.29
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.