Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at National Championship 2025

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Odi Winata

1st • 8-1-0

56%

Meta

+3.4

Perf

4.7

Surp

6.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chriatian Wijaya (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Justian Frederick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs martinus indra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.17
R8	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.53
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.07
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.42
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.87

Zul Kifli

22nd • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Putu Swantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andreas Andreas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.74

Wibowo Aji

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Irsan Halim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jason Alexander (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.62
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Brandon Sugianto

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 87:13

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anditya Tornando (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.07
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.