National Championship 2025 - Indonesia - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Odi Winata

1st • 8-1-0

67%

Meta

+3.5

Perf

4.7

Surp

6.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chriatian Wijaya (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Justian Frederick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs martinus indra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.10
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.50
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.13
R8	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.59
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.16
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.48
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.95

Zul Kifli

22nd • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Putu Swantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andreas Andreas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.82

Wibowo Aji

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Irsan Halim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jason Alexander (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.69
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Brandon Sugianto

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.1

Diff

Deck

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anditya Tornando (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.