Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

15th 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Farrell Pujokusumo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rama Wirakusuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs martinus indra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
31st 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
!!
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Dorinthea Ironsong
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Pri Hermawan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chriatian Wijaya (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs justin widjaja (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.