FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2025 - Indonesia

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

David Soetrisno
15th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Farrell Pujokusumo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rama Wirakusuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Katsu, the Wanderer
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs martinus indra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
Rafael Alva Shady
31st • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
Katsu, the Wanderer
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Pri Hermawan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chriatian Wijaya (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs justin widjaja (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.