Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-1-1
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Willy Felim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Hadzie De Grim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
Arakni, Marionette
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Margo Burhanudin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
dropped 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Katsu, the Wanderer
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bhismantara Candra (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dave Poetera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.