Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at National Championship 2025 - Indonesia
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 0-6-0
33%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Sugianto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Farrell Pujokusumo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Edward Leonardo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.