Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 4-1-1
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yu Heng Chew (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Draw vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
12th • 4-1-1
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kok Tong Chew (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Seb Kho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs shao hong koh (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Clinton Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Draw vs Jin Han Toh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
26th • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
4.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clarence Foo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aloysius Goh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Zac Lau (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Round 12: Win vs Soh zheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dale Low (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yong Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yu Heng Chew (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darrell Yeo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gideon Law (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee koon Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thaddius Ho (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vivekraj Kannalagan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Ben Ong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Draw |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Lee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs An Zhu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Avinash Vellavan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.