Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

shao hong koh

18th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.3

Surp

3.1

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zachary Tng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sean How (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.10
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	1.24

Christopher Ng

34th • 2-3-1

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Clinton Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Chew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jie Rui C (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Draw vs kc wong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.10
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R10	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.48
R11	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Yong Lim

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Lau (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 38:62

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andre Ang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.