Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

shao hong koh

18th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zachary Tng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sean How (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73

70:30

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.17
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.74
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.92
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	70%	Win	✓	0.31	1.05

Christopher Ng

34th • 2-3-1

83%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Clinton Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Chew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jie Rui C (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Draw vs kc wong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.09
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R10	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.63
R11	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Draw	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Yong Lim

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Lau (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andre Ang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.