National Championship 2025 - Singapore - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eugene Neo

16th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.5

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs shao hong koh (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elliott Liew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Dennis Xiao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Christopher Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.48
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.59

Denny Sunarjo

40th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

4.2

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bryan Tang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Avinash Vellavan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Lu Wei Soh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.35
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.05

Ping How Ng

17th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.7

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Winter Fong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Neo Teng Whay (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kok Tong Chew (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Dale Low (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.31
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.08

Denny Koh

24th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

5.7

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ben Ong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andre Ang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

15:85

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Aaron Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Win	✗	0.86	5.18
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.