Dash I/O at National Championship 2025

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bryan Kong

2nd • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

5.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Farid Farhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sherry W (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Zac Lau (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs An Zhu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.17
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R10	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.80
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.94
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.02
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.96
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.16
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Daniel Toh

13th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Xiao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Hung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Theodore Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs An Zhu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Keith Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Zac Lau (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R11	CC	Puffin, Hightail	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.53

Jose Lau

14th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shangkai Wang (Unknown)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Seb Kho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Winter Fong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Clinton Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.53

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.