Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Neo Teng Whay (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Toh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.