National Championship 2025 - Singapore - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brandon Peh

1st • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

5.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kai Xun Neo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ho Wei jie. (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Seb Kho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.07
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.12
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.10
R15	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.11

Ivan Teo

5th • 6-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vivekraj Kannalagan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Baron Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zac Lau (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Keith Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.99
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.12
R12	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.65
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Aaron Lee

19th • 6-0-0

83%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

5.3

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alfian Poon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Te Fu Heng (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jie Rui C (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Isaac Teo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Kyle Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.26
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.39
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.92

Dale Low

25th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.5

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andre Ang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kai Xun Neo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Kyle Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.17
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.26
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.91
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Eric Cheong

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marco Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Soh zheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yu Heng Chew (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.45

Clarence Foo

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hermann Yeo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jamen Ho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.