National Championship 2025 - Singapore - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ming Xuan Loh

dropped • 3-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Chew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Baron Chan

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lu Wei Soh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dennis Xiao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Hermann Yeo

dropped • 2-1-0

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Clarence Foo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (1.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.80
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.65

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.