Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wei Jian Gan

2nd • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daryl Sham (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ivan Dinnesh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Quah Hee Aun (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs (IG) Davin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Kar Hoe See (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.14
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.15
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.66
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.88
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.96
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Nicholas Tan (Nickay)

10th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hafiz Hamidon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs CK Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Lim Yin Kun (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.91
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.91
R9	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Liew Kai Fai

27th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samuel Wong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Eric Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.21
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.94
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Wen Yu Thye

23rd • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.57
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.89
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Eric Leong

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xi Shern Tan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Andrew Ang

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.57
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hafiz Hamidon

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.57
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kok Xin Chong

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Quah Hee Aun (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lai Chi Yi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yi Hong Thien (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Zer Shiuan Peng

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Azel Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Quah Hee Aun (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.