Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025 - Malaysia
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daryl Sham (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Dinnesh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Quah Hee Aun (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs (IG) Davin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kar Hoe See (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
10th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hafiz Hamidon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs CK Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lim Yin Kun (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
27th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Wong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
23rd • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xi Shern Tan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Quah Hee Aun (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lai Chi Yi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yi Hong Thien (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Azel Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quah Hee Aun (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.