Azalea, Ace in the Hole
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kar Hoe See (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lim Yin Kun (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
5th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hafiz Hamidon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lim Yin Kun (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Quah Hee Aun (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Charles Hasley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Xi Shern Tan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sean Lee (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
18th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Meor Eizaaz bin Nasarudin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Yong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs (William) Wai Leem Au Yong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ng cheng yang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daryl Sham (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
21st • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kok Xin Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zer Shiuan Peng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kar Hoe See (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Mah (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 8: Loss vs Sean Lee (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kar Hoe See (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Meor Eizaaz bin Nasarudin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.