Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025

Prism, Awakener of Sol

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lexiss Pong

42nd • 1-5-0

50%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xi Shern Tan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Meor Eizaaz bin Nasarudin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.80
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Zheng Wei Tham

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jun Kheng Ong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lim Yin Kun (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Dewind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.13
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.27
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Elmer Lim

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shazrul Izwan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Abdul Naeem Green (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.41
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Barry Sangabo Sirimanne

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elmer Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Charles Hasley

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gideon Yee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexi K (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Johannas Mohd Yusof (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.