Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at National Championship 2025

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim

5th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lim Yin Kun (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Justin Yong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Xi Shern Tan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.04
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Liang Choong Poh

31st • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs E Wei Lim (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lih Song Tan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adrian Dewind (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Abdul Naeem Green (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.35
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.92

Ji Timm Lee

12th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Calvin Mah HP (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kar Hoe See (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.98

Xi Shern Tan

24th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eric Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alexi K (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.55
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Justin Yong

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jamal Armand (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Cheah Khai Hoong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.30
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.70
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Yong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Abdul Naeem Green (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.90

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.