National Championship 2025 - Malaysia - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

(IG) Davin

9th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.3

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Alexi K (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.77
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.10
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.25
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Tan Eugene

28th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Wong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jun Kheng Ong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ee Keat Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.24
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.96
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.65
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Haziq Ghazale

33rd • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

4.1

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Elmer Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Cheah Khai Hoong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexi K (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ee Keat Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.26
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.51
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.37

Vincent Khang Wei Chu

25th • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zheng Wei Tham (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yi Hong Thien (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Justin Yong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.49
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.30
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.