Dash I/O at National Championship 2025 - Malaysia

Dash I/O

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th • 6-1-0

86%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

Fai, Rising Rebellion

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Prism, Awakener of Sol

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zheng Wei Tham (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.45
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.04
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.98
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

35th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Moses Jason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

Fang, Dracai of Blades

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sean Lee (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Eric Leong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.02
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

41st • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexi K (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gideon Yee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Fang, Dracai of Blades

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

Fang, Dracai of Blades

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Samuel Wong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Johannas Mohd Yusof

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs CK Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Dewind (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

Prism, Awakener of Sol

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Charles Hasley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lai Chi Yi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26

Fang, Dracai of Blades

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ivan Dinnesh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.60
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.66

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.