Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at National Championship 2025

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

(William) Wai Leem Au Yong

32nd • 4-1-1

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Calvin Mah HP (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jamal Armand (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs E Wei Lim (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lih Song Tan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Draw	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.27
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.98

Mohd Imran Jamil

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yi Hong Thien (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adam Dewind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Abdul Naeem Green (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.54
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.66
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Lai Chi Yi

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kok Xin Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sean Lee (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Johannas Mohd Yusof (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.71
R7	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Hakim Green

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Meor Eizaaz bin Nasarudin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.90
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Peng Joon

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Abdul Naeem Green (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ng cheng yang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.