Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2025 - Malaysia
Fang, Dracai of Blades
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
5.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Round 9: Win vs Quah Hee Aun (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
40th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tan Eugene (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gideon Yee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lih Song Tan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
Round 8: Win vs Michael Cheah Khai Hoong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
26th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Mah (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Calvin Mah HP (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lai Chi Yi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexi K (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Barmby Boyou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs (William) Wai Leem Au Yong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Dewind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Johannas Mohd Yusof (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kok Xin Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.