Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2025 - Malaysia
Fang, Dracai of Blades
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Round 9: Win vs Quah Hee Aun (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
40th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
5.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tan Eugene (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gideon Yee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 49:51
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lih Song Tan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
Round 8: Win vs Michael Cheah Khai Hoong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Mah (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Calvin Mah HP (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lai Chi Yi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexi K (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Barmby Boyou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs (William) Wai Leem Au Yong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Dewind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Johannas Mohd Yusof (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kok Xin Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.