FaB-Results

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2025 - Malaysia

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joses Jolio
15th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
3.3
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs (IG) Davin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Kano, Dracai of Aether
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lih Song Tan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Ee Keat Ng
19th • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shazrul Izwan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Mah (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kar Hoe See (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Dewind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tan Eugene (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.