Ira, Scarlet Revenger at National Championship 2025 - Malaysia
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Win vs Azel Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zer Shiuan Peng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 9: Loss vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.