Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at National Championship 2025 - South Korea
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sangwon Kwon (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeong Ho Shin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Brice Vanbesien (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yo seop Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
17th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs SANG JIN HWANG (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clayton Gowen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brian Fields (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
24th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Cassidy (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TAEWOO KWON (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kyeong Pil Baek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Austin Marshall (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Loss vs Jeongwoo Cho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
25th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Seongyu Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs SANG JIN HWANG (Unknown)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs JISU HAN (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hyunwoo Choi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wookyung Park (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sang Hwa Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyoungsoo Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clayton Gowen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Sangwon Kwon (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyeong Pil Baek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Younghyun Jeong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sang Hwa Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Woosang Kim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaehwan Kwak (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yo seop Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 진영 우 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.