Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nathan Youngblut

5th • 6-1-0

57%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

4.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joe Cassidy (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs ko yunsik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.57
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.37
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.31
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

JISU HAN

12th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.8

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joe Cassidy (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Austin Marshall (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs TAEHO KWON (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs ko yunsik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.60
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.00
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.71
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.33

Wookyung Park

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Collin Scanley (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.