Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nathan Youngblut

5th • 6-1-0

43%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joe Cassidy (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs ko yunsik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.15
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.38
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.71
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.59
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

JISU HAN

12th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joe Cassidy (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Austin Marshall (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs TAEHO KWON (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs ko yunsik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.76
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.57

Wookyung Park

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Collin Scanley (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.