Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at National Championship 2025

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Suh Jaeyong

10th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jaeseok Cho (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jaehwan Kwak (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs HAN DONG HUI (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hojin Choi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.76
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.96

Juntaek Lim

13th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ahn Hyowon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Suk ju Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 제윤 장 (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jeongwoo Cho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.01
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.98

myung hyun Tak

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kim Minki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs TAEHO KWON (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.