Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

20th 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yo seop Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Marshall (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeong Ho Shin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Uzuri, Switchblade
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Fields (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kyeong Pil Baek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kyoungsoo Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
dropped 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyeong Pil Baek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.