National Championship 2025 - South Korea - Azalea, Ace in the Hole (CC)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

In GwangYeol

2nd • 7-2-0

67%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

5.0

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Woosang Kim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ko yunsik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yo seop Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Seongyu Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Younghyun Jeong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.09
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.17
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.76
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.38
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.54
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.73
R12	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

seongkyu lim

9th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.5

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Brice Vanbesien (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Suk ju Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kyujung Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jeongwoo Cho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yo seop Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.46

Jeongwoo Cho

19th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kyeong Pil Baek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sangwon Kwon (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs seongkyu lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hyunwoo Choi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.23
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Win	✗	0.61	2.04

Cameron Bradley

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kyujung Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Woosang Kim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jaeseok Cho (Unknown)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.