National Championship 2025 - South Korea - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Choi Tae seong

5th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Younghyun Jeong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Keeseob Choi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hojin Choi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs In GwangYeol (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Younghyun Jeong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.07
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.21
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Andy Kim

11th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bae hamin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kim Minki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Seongyu Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Younghyun Jeong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Keeseob Choi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.57
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.68
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.98

TAEWOO KWON

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Suk ju Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Seongyu Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hyunwoo Choi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.45
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

진영 우

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kim Minki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs wooram Oh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.