Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mu Kyun Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Fields (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.