National Championship 2025 - South Korea - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jordan Brice Vanbesien

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs seongkyu lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kyujung Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kyoungsoo Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R2	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

JUNG MOO SUNG

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ahn Hyowon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lee Dong-Hee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jung Ryoukwang

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ko yunsik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.