Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

20 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joakim Gustafsson

38th • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.8

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jose Antonio Del Hoyo Cuenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ian Smith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.36
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.41
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.14
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.33
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

106th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

8.0

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Bravo, Showstopper

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Victor Brøcker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

8.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R11	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.38
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	2.83
R13	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.62
R14	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.45

133rd • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

5.0

Diff

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Unknown)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Tang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tom Hazell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Douglas Shima (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

R14

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	2.59
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R14	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.75

135th • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Douglas Shima (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Tom Hazell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.41
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R12	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R14	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.42
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.51
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nils Hauck (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Kano, Dracai of Aether

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Igor Wesołowski

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Juan Chacon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Sebastian Fauth

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

Bravo, Showstopper

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dagan White (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.41
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Giannis Kouris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexandros Modestou (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maciej Janik (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.94
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

Kano, Dracai of Aether

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Kinison (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Donovan van Beek

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.1

Diff

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

Dorinthea Ironsong

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandros Modestou (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hanno Guellicher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Filippo Barbani

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alyssa Carden (Unknown)

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Joachim (Unknown)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carlos de Dueñas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Bravo, Showstopper

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Kano, Dracai of Aether

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Unknown)

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

dropped • 0-3-0

0%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

rangsiman sriphueak

dropped • 0-1-0

0%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

Nuu, Alluring Desire

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.