Azalea, Ace in the Hole
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
79th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Szary (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Miranda (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Benjamin Cohen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
43rd • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
5.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Kitsos (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sam Lau (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
50th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Liam Holden (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Tydecks (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matt Rogers (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
58th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cameron Miller (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Joel Repta (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
63rd • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ximun LASTIRI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandros Argyriou (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Nova Chan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
76th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
88th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Urban (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
95th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Pennec (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Viet Pham (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
96th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Māris Suipe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Kitsos (Unknown)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Sunny Yang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Jones (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Krentz (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominique JABES (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs valentin mackl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Viet Pham (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sander Neeft (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Lau (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Harle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ximun LASTIRI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Douglas Shima (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Alves (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Bonde (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ximun LASTIRI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Antonio Del Hoyo Cuenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan O'Leary (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.