Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024 - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jaap IJlst

18th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bino Nolting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Michael Feng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.11
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.37
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.34
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.18
R12	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.33

Jude Cornett

dropped • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

5.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Bino Nolting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.47
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.73

Xavier Aubert

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Vore (Unknown)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.65
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Mara Faris

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Douglas Shima (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josep Giné (Unknown)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jacob Nielsen

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christiano Cavallo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.