Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 6-1-1
50%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Terukazu Goshima (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Butcher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Unknown)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
59th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Unknown)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Unknown)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sam Lau (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
115th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Round 11: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs João Gomes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
128th • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Zawieracz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lucas Miranda (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cameron Miller (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnny Khong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fedir Kokhan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Holland (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Sweeney (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.