Bravo, Showstopper at Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024
Bravo, Showstopper
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
127th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Rogers (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
60th • 3-4-1
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Fauth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sunny Yang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Connor Bryant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Ian Holland (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Porter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Māris Suipe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.