Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

12 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kevin Zänker

5th • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Elly Bird (Unknown)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alejandro Ziegenhirt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.42
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.88
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.45
R15	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Ralph Schlauri

85th • 4-4-0

12%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

7.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

20:80

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

12% (1/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

7.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.28
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.12
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.12
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Win	✗	0.79	3.64
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Cas Mulder

132nd • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Tague (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Miranda (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Theo Maggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.68

Sam Lau

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Corey Baker (Unknown)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tim Bierholz (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Joel Repta (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.38
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R13	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Ian Fraser

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adam Matecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marko Leben (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.36
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Chris Johnson

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 29:71

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexandros Argyriou (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Eric Kyborg

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Suciu Andrei (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.77
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Jyry Soinio

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Urban (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Carlos de Dueñas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.68
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Maciej Graszek

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alejandro Ziegenhirt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Dailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Hazell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.68
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Michael Clair

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Unknown)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tomoya Ohta

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Clair (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrew Loberg

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.