Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024 - Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro (CC)

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Lorenzi

110th • 3-5-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sylvain Poirree (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.09
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.29
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.73
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R14	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Cedric SCHAACK

dropped • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bogdan Popa

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Unknown)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Pires (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hughes Lee (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Curtis Roth

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs LUIZ FERREIRA (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.