Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro at Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Lorenzi

110th • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 77:23

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sylvain Poirree (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.09
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.77
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R14	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

dropped • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

Nuu, Alluring Desire

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 55:45

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Prism, Awakener of Sol

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Nuu, Alluring Desire

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Unknown)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Pires (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hughes Lee (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs LUIZ FERREIRA (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.